{"id":47167,"date":"2023-08-16T16:28:34","date_gmt":"2023-08-16T12:28:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/?p=47167"},"modified":"2023-08-16T16:28:35","modified_gmt":"2023-08-16T12:28:35","slug":"winners-and-losers-in-the-art-auction-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/winners-and-losers-in-the-art-auction-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Winners and losers in the art auction market"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The inaugural half-year edition of the <a href=\"https:\/\/news.artnet.com\/market\/introducing-the-artnet-intelligence-report-mid-year-review-2023-2339623\">Artnet Intelligence Report<\/a>, compiled by Artnet News contributor Julia Halperin, attempts to describe the current art market by the numbers. The conclusion: prices are generally dropping and bargains are to be had for the selective buyer.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It fact the report doesn\u2019t actually cover the total art market \u2013 it\u2019s just auction house sales, and even then private sales and other numbers that might affect gross hammer prices are excluded. For instance, Artnet notes that sales in the most affordable segment \u2013 works priced at $10,000 and under \u2013 were down 12 percent year on year; but that\u2019s because \u201cmany auction houses no longer consider it cost-effective to transact at this low level\u201d. And this is precisely the price range where galleries (and increasingly direct sales from the artist) are at their best.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With the caveat that the art market is defined narrowly, it\u2019s still worth looking at the report if only to see where the speculation is happening (anecdotally we assume that auction sales are a better indication of asset acquisition and disposal rather than a measure of \u2013 say \u2013 perceived artistic quality).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It opens with a pretty gloomy summary by Artnet\u2019s editor-in-chief Andrew Goldstein: \u201cAfter staging a blazing comeback from the pandemic in 2021 and 2022, when near-zero interest rates and (let\u2019s be honest) a healthy dose of boredom flooded money into everything from historical masterpieces to animal NFTs, the great global marketplace for fine art lost a whole lot of value \u2013 and dynamism \u2013 in the first half of 2023\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The \u2018reality check\u2019 page has some of the key stats:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-kadence-iconlist kt-svg-icon-list-items kt-svg-icon-list-items47167_f8429d-1a kt-svg-icon-list-columns-1 alignnone kt-list-icon-aligntop\"><ul class=\"kt-svg-icon-list\">\n<li class=\"wp-block-kadence-listitem kt-svg-icon-list-item-wrap kt-svg-icon-list-item-47167_8f70c9-6c\"><span data-name=\"fas_money-bill-alt\" data-stroke=\"USE_PARENT_DEFAULT_WIDTH\" data-class=\"kt-svg-icon-list-single\" class=\"kadence-dynamic-icon\"><\/span><span class=\"kt-svg-icon-list-text\"><strong>$5bn<\/strong> \u2013 the value of <strong>transactions in the fine art market<\/strong> between 1 January and 20 May 2023. That\u2019s <em>down 14 percent <\/em>on the year before<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"wp-block-kadence-listitem kt-svg-icon-list-item-wrap kt-svg-icon-list-item-47167_9c3b99-3b\"><span data-name=\"fas_money-bill-alt\" data-stroke=\"USE_PARENT_DEFAULT_WIDTH\" data-class=\"kt-svg-icon-list-single\" class=\"kadence-dynamic-icon\"><\/span><span class=\"kt-svg-icon-list-text\"><strong>$184.2m<\/strong> \u2013 the amount spent at auction in the period on <strong>ultra-contemporary art<\/strong> (by artists born after 1974). <em>Down more than 25 percent<\/em><\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"wp-block-kadence-listitem kt-svg-icon-list-item-wrap kt-svg-icon-list-item-47167_cb5e38-4b\"><span data-name=\"fas_money-bill-alt\" data-stroke=\"USE_PARENT_DEFAULT_WIDTH\" data-class=\"kt-svg-icon-list-single\" class=\"kadence-dynamic-icon\"><\/span><span class=\"kt-svg-icon-list-text\"><strong>$42,172<\/strong> \u2013 average price of a work of <strong>fine art<\/strong> sold at auction in the first five months of the year. <em>Down 6 percent<\/em><\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"wp-block-kadence-listitem kt-svg-icon-list-item-wrap kt-svg-icon-list-item-47167_cb5e38-4b\"><span data-name=\"fas_money-bill-alt\" data-stroke=\"USE_PARENT_DEFAULT_WIDTH\" data-class=\"kt-svg-icon-list-single\" class=\"kadence-dynamic-icon\"><\/span><span class=\"kt-svg-icon-list-text\"><strong>$1.2bn<\/strong> \u2013 total revenue from <strong>works priced at $10 million<\/strong> and up at auction in the first five months of 2022. <em>Down 51 percent<\/em><\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"wp-block-kadence-listitem kt-svg-icon-list-item-wrap kt-svg-icon-list-item-47167_c358f8-b1\"><span data-name=\"fe_arrowDownCircle\" data-stroke=\"USE_PARENT_DEFAULT_WIDTH\" data-class=\"kt-svg-icon-list-single\" class=\"kadence-dynamic-icon\"><\/span><span class=\"kt-svg-icon-list-text\"><strong>minus 22 percent<\/strong> \u2013 year-on-year <em>decline<\/em> in total sales at the Big Three auction houses<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"wp-block-kadence-listitem kt-svg-icon-list-item-wrap kt-svg-icon-list-item-47167_908221-e4\"><span data-name=\"fe_arrowDownCircle\" data-stroke=\"USE_PARENT_DEFAULT_WIDTH\" data-class=\"kt-svg-icon-list-single\" class=\"kadence-dynamic-icon\"><\/span><span class=\"kt-svg-icon-list-text\"><strong>minus 5 percent<\/strong> \u2013 <em>decline<\/em> in revenue from online-only sales at Christie\u2019s, Sotheby\u2019s, Phillips, Bonham\u2019s, and Artnet Auctions in the first five months of the year (still more than 300 percent up on pre-pandemic 2019)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f7eef0\"><mark><strong>Ultra-contemporary art:<\/strong><\/mark> Speculation has boosted the markets for a few of artists like Matthew Wong, Jonas Wood, and Adrian Ghenie \u2013 the $6.7m paid for Wong\u2019s River at Dusk (2018) was nearly 38 percent more than it realised on its last appearance at auction just three years ago. But the NFT bubble has burst and buyers have become more cautious; only the top four would have appeared in the list in Artnet&#8217;s last mid-year report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f7eef0\"><mark><strong>Contemporary art<\/strong><\/mark>: Action sales for works by artists born between 1945 and 1974 suggest a market in flux \u2013 of the top ten sales in the period three were under estimate, three over, and four within range. The names are much as before: Basquiat, Cecily Brown, Yoshitomo Nara, Banksy, Christopher Wood. Artnet\u2019s conclusion: sell now. \u201cDoing so might not return as frothy results as before, but it\u2019s hard to predict the pervading riff of next season, so let\u2019s improvise.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f7eef0\"><mark><strong>Post-war art<\/strong><\/mark>: It seems auctioneers have been complaining (privately) about lacklustre inventory in this category \u2013 no Warhols in the first half of 2023, for instance. The highest-selling lot fin the period, Louise Bourgeois\u2019s $32.8m bronze Spider, would have only placed seventh in last year\u2019s rankings. It seems the issue might be as much demand (changing tastes) as supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f7eef0\"><mark><strong>Impressionist and modern art<\/strong><\/mark>: The five top sellers at auction in this segment (for work by artists born between 1821 and 1910) had never appeared at auction before, which is unusual. They ranged from Picasso\u2019s Nature morte \u00e0 la fen\u00eatre (sold for $41.8m) up to Klimt&#8217;s $53.2M Insel im Attersee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f7eef0\"><mark><strong>European Old Masters<\/strong><\/mark>: Traditionally this category, for artists born between 1250 and 1820, has been relatively immune from the turbulence of fashion: there will always be a market for \u201cabsolute, dead-on masterpieces,<br>in great condition with great history\u201d as one dealer put it. Artnet concludes: \u201cgiven the nosebleed prices in other sectors, [the Old Masters segment] feels like a relative bargain\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The big issue is obviously financial: money is not as cheap as it used to be, with investors and speculators clobbered the removal of tax advantages in the States followed by the disappearance of low interest rates. Savvy buyers used to pledge their collections against loans, because the low rates meant that it cost them almost nothing. Today, it costs three times more than it did even a year ago to borrow the same amount. Add in other factors \u2013 the Ukraine war, tech layoffs, continued inflation, and more \u2013 and the result is a buyer\u2019s market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The conclusion: \u201cif you are a collector, an investor, or a semi-pro combination of the two, now is the time to be choosy and strike bargains \u2013 especially, perhaps, in the ultra-contemporary sector of young art that, after getting supernova-hot over the past two years, has now seen public prices fall by more than a quarter. A caveat: if you are looking for a first-rate historical masterpiece with all the bells and whistles, the dynamic seems to flip, so be prepared to pay [through] the nose\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Artnet Intelligence Report: Mid-Year Review 2023 is available as a free download <a href=\"https:\/\/media.artnet.com\/image\/upload\/v1691415983\/2023\/08\/introducing-the-artnet-intelligence-report-mid-year-review-2023_oqhquy.pdf\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\">The inaugural half-year edition of the Artnet Intelligence Report, compiled by Artnet News contributor Julia Halperin, attempts to describe the current art market by the numbers. The conclusion: prices are generally dropping and bargains are to be had for the <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/winners-and-losers-in-the-art-auction-market\/\" title=\"Winners and losers in the art auction market\"> [&#8230; more]<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":47173,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[221],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47167","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-art-market"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47167","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47167"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47167\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47173"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47167"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47167"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/magpie.ae\/staging4\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47167"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}